Thursday, January 16, 2020

Oil prices 1/16

Oil prices have done nothing exciting over the last few sessions despite a bearish EIA crude oil inventory report that showed production hit a new record high and as demand weakens. Last week’s oil bloodbath that saw the major de-escalation with the US-Iran conflict erased all the gains from the OPEC + alliance bigger than expected production cut pledge.  Yesterday’s inventory numbers saw huge builds with both gasoline and distillate inventories.  Since West Texas Intermediate crude did not collapse despite a majority of the market seeming to turn bearish, we may have seen a bottom put in place.  The next big move for crude may need to come an improving global outlook that may require further stimulus from Europe.  WTI could remain a choppy trade this week, but we could see the path be easier towards $60 than to the mid-$50s region.   
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