It’s been an eventful few weeks for Jerome Powell, who has just commenced his stint as chair of the Federal Reserve. Strong US data in recent weeks has raised speculation that the Fed may need to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes in 2018. The Fed is currently projecting three rate hikes this year, but if inflation continues to move upwards, many analysts are expecting that the Fed could press the rate trigger four, or even five times in 2018. Meanwhile, concern over higher inflation and more rate hikes sent the stock markets into a frenzy earlier in February. Powell sought to reassure the markets that the Fed was monitoring the situation, but it’s doubtful that the Fed can do much to prevent volatility in the markets.
USD/CAD has posted small gains in the Asian and European sessions
•1.2494 is providing support
•1.2630 is a weak resistance line
•Current range: 1.2494 to 1.2630
Further levels in both directions:
•Below: 1.2494, 1.2351, 1.2190 and 1.2060
•Above: 1.2630, 1.2757 and 1.2855
USD/CAD ratio is showing little movement in the Tuesday session. Currently, short and long positions are evenly split, indicative of a lack of trader bias as to which direction USD/CAD will take next.