Canada's stronger-than-expected November GDP report makes an interest-rate cut
look less likely in the near term, Capital Economics says. Statistics Canada
reported a slight 0.1% advance in November GDP from the previous month,
surpassing market expectations for a flat reading. CapEcon's Stephen Brown
anticipates the December data will show at least a 0.2% monthly gain, which he
said should be enough to convince policy makers their fears of a further
slowdown are unwarranted. That kind of advance in December "will ensure the Bank
keeps policy on hold in the coming months
Forex and stock traders are looking for the consistently wrong investor, trader and take the opposite position. This will obviously lead to winning trades for them. All traders have read trading books that point out that increasing volume is good for the continuation of the trend. Many new stock traders will try and fight the trend.
Friday, January 31, 2020
Silver Ounce 1/31
The following assumptions that have been made: - At least 20 pip forecast - The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification | ||
Symbol : COMP Silver Ounce (USD) | ||
Direction : Identified time : 2020-01-31 16:03 GMT Breakout price : 18.0504 Forecast price : 18.49112 Forecast pips : 44 Probability : 64.55 % | ||
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Thursday, January 30, 2020
forex chart GBP/JPY 1/30
The following assumptions that have been made: - At least 20 pip forecast - The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification | ||
Symbol : GBPJPY | ||
Direction : Identified time : 2020-01-31 01:01 GMT Breakout price : 142.866 Forecast price : 143.13151 Forecast pips : 27 Probability : 64.16 % | ||
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Wednesday, January 29, 2020
US Dollar 1/29
The US Dollar strengthened against the Euro and British Pound overnight but
eased slightly against the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, both boosted by haven
flows. It left the Dollar Index futures almost unchanged at New York’s
close.
In the developing market space, local Asian currencies continue to hold their own for now, despite concerns about a Wuhan virus-induced slowdown in the region. The retreat in regional currencies has been more of a slow grind than a full-blown charge for the exit, perhaps reflecting the currency market’s preference for more information on the evolution of the Wuhan virus situation. It also reflects the lack of extreme positioning evident in equity and bond markets.
USD/CNH continues to trade around 6.9800, unable or unwilling to test, and or break, the pivotal 7.0000 level. That implies that official selling interest lies in wait up here, helping to “calm” things.
Overall, US Dollar strength is expected to continue, boosted by yields and haven flows into US treasuries.
In the developing market space, local Asian currencies continue to hold their own for now, despite concerns about a Wuhan virus-induced slowdown in the region. The retreat in regional currencies has been more of a slow grind than a full-blown charge for the exit, perhaps reflecting the currency market’s preference for more information on the evolution of the Wuhan virus situation. It also reflects the lack of extreme positioning evident in equity and bond markets.
USD/CNH continues to trade around 6.9800, unable or unwilling to test, and or break, the pivotal 7.0000 level. That implies that official selling interest lies in wait up here, helping to “calm” things.
Overall, US Dollar strength is expected to continue, boosted by yields and haven flows into US treasuries.
forex chart USD/INR 1/29
The following assumptions that have been made: - At least 20 pip forecast - The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification | ||
Symbol : USDINR | ||
Direction : Identified time : 2020-01-29 15:01 GMT Breakout price : 71.344 Forecast price : 71.435 Forecast pips : 910 Probability : 59.77 % | ||
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Tuesday, January 28, 2020
USD/MXN 1/28
The following assumptions that have been made: - At least 20 pip forecast - The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification | ||
Symbol : USDMXN | ||
Direction : Identified time : 2020-01-28 13:01 GMT Breakout price : 18.8251 Forecast price : 18.77344 Forecast pips : 52 Probability : 60.88 % | ||
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Monday, January 27, 2020
Brazilian
The Brazilian real weakened to 4.22 per dollar, from 4.17 per dollar on Friday.
Economist Andre Perfeito, from Necton brokerage, says it will end the year at
4.30 per dollar. He points to deteriorating current account balance released
today by the central bank showing a shrinking trade surplus that could worsen if
the economy rebounds, as expected. Perfeito says the depreciation stems also
from historic low interest rates in Brazil, which make the real less attractive
for carry trade. Perfeito notes, however, that the central bank's robust $357
billion foreign-currency reserves can avoid a full-blown crisis.
Sunday, January 26, 2020
Forex charts for 1/27
EUR/USD 1st support - 1.0980 (major) 1st resistance - 1.1160 (major) 2nd support - 1.0880 (major) 2nd resistance - 1.1240 (major) EUR/USD (last 1.1030): The pair has posted a bearish pattern of lower highs while striking against the lower Bollinger band, calling for acceleration to the downside. The descending 20-day moving average has just crossed below the 50-day one, helping to maintain short-term bearishness. Trading below the key resistance at 1.1160, the pair should sink toward 1.0980 and 1.0880 on the downside.
AUD/USD 1st support - 0.6750 (major) 1st resistance - 0.6900 (major) 2nd support - 0.6670 (major) 2nd resistance - 0.6950 (major) AUD/USD (last 0.6808): The pair keeps striking against the lower Bollinger band calling for acceleration to the downside. Meanwhile, it remains capped by the descending 20-day moving average, which has crossed below the 50-day one. Therefore, the short-term technical configuration continues to be very bearish. The trailing key resistance has been lowered to 0.6900. Trading below this level, the pair should fall toward 0.6750 and 0.6670 on the downside.
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Friday, January 24, 2020
forex GBP/JPY chart 1/24
The following assumptions that have been made: - At least 20 pip forecast - The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification | ||
Symbol : GBPJPY | ||
Direction : Identified time : 2020-01-24 16:02 GMT Breakout price : 143.001 Forecast price : 142.56182 Forecast pips : 44 Probability : 62.75 % | ||
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