Monday, February 3, 2020

Oil prices 2/3

Oil prices are off their lowest level in more than a year after Saudi Arabia ponders what it needs to do to stabilize prices.  OPEC + will have a two-day technical meeting starting tomorrow and expectations are high we could see a total reduction of 500,000 to 1-million barrels per day of additional cuts.  The start of the trading week saw West Texas Intermediate crude fall to the $50.42 level after reports that Chinese oil demand plunged by ~3 million barrels a day, which is about 20% of their total consumption. 

Oil prices will likely remain near the low $50s until we see further signs that China will see some return to normalcy with oil consumption.  Any extended cuts delivered by OPEC + will likely deliver rallies that will get sold into.  Oil prices will remain heavy until we see start to see some signs that the virus may be peaking. 

Friday, January 31, 2020

forex Canada November GDP 1/31

Canada's stronger-than-expected November GDP report makes an interest-rate cut look less likely in the near term, Capital Economics says. Statistics Canada reported a slight 0.1% advance in November GDP from the previous month, surpassing market expectations for a flat reading. CapEcon's Stephen Brown anticipates the December data will show at least a 0.2% monthly gain, which he said should be enough to convince policy makers their fears of a further slowdown are unwarranted. That kind of advance in December "will ensure the Bank keeps policy on hold in the coming months

Silver Ounce 1/31



The following assumptions that have been made:
- At least 20 pip forecast
- The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification
 



Symbol : COMP Silver Ounce (USD)   

Direction :
Identified time : 2020-01-31 16:03 GMT
Breakout price : 18.0504
Forecast price : 18.49112
Forecast pips : 44
Probability : 64.55 %
Pattern : Double Bottom
Interval : 30 Min

Pattern : Resistance
Interval : 30 Min

Thursday, January 30, 2020

forex chart GBP/JPY 1/30



The following assumptions that have been made:
- At least 20 pip forecast
- The key level and chart pattern were at most 5 candles apart at time of identification
 



Symbol : GBPJPY   

Direction :
Identified time : 2020-01-31 01:01 GMT
Breakout price : 142.866
Forecast price : 143.13151
Forecast pips : 27
Probability : 64.16 %
Pattern : Ascending Triangle
Interval : 30 Min

Pattern : Resistance
Interval : 30 Min

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

US Dollar 1/29

The US Dollar strengthened against the Euro and British Pound overnight but eased slightly against the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, both boosted by haven flows. It left the Dollar Index futures almost unchanged at New York’s close.

In the developing market space, local Asian currencies continue to hold their own for now, despite concerns about a Wuhan virus-induced slowdown in the region. The retreat in regional currencies has been more of a slow grind than a full-blown charge for the exit, perhaps reflecting the currency market’s preference for more information on the evolution of the Wuhan virus situation. It also reflects the lack of extreme positioning evident in equity and bond markets.

USD/CNH continues to trade around 6.9800, unable or unwilling to test, and or break, the pivotal 7.0000 level. That implies that official selling interest lies in wait up here, helping to “calm” things.

Overall, US Dollar strength is expected to continue, boosted by yields and haven flows into US treasuries.