USD/JPY Gold held losses

Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment. Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.2 percent to $1,274.82 an ounce, and traded at $1,276.25 at 8:18 a.m. in Singapore, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. The metal on Aug. 21 dropped to $1,273.14, the lowest level since June 18, as the minutes of the Feds last meeting signaled that policy makers may raise interest rates sooner than anticipated.

USD/JPY continues to trade at high levels on Tuesday, with the pair trading just below the 104 line. In Japan, the Services Producer Price Index posted an impressive 3.7% gain, matching the forecast. Over in the US, Core Durable Goods declined by 0.8%, but Durable Goods Orders set a monthly record with a huge jump of 22%.

When it comes to forex trading these days everyone should know the rules by now: the central banks dictate market direction. Last week’s Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo., will be regarded as a watershed moment for the eurozone’s survival. Despite Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s “neutral or less dovish” tone, it was “super” Mario Draghi’s assertion that the European Central Bank (ECB) stands ready to act again that has quickened the pulse of capital markets.

 USD/CHF  Daily
13::15GMT - Though the mkt. broke the 0.9139 sup., downside was limited to 0.9135 before recovery back to the day high at 0.9164. Clearance  of the latter should be s/term positive and we could then see a retest of Mon's high at 0.9178. Sup. is at  0.9135.N.I.

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USD/JPY Daily

13::20 GMT - Step back this am. is a bullish test of Fri value; it  follows Fri.'s spike test of 103.50 which easily retained the 103~ breakout. With last week's rise, the USD has moved decisively out of the YTD apex- now a hold above 104.10/ the start-Aprhighs confirms & points further up (to 105.45/ the YTD high.)

price of spot gold

The price of spot gold edged towards a two-month low on Friday morning as analysts weighed up the many factors that have been causing the commodity to trade in a tight range in recent months. Gold slipped to $1,279 per ounce in morning trade. It had been on a five-day losing streak and was headed for its worst week in five. That trend had turned around by midday London time with the price moving higher as tensions re-emerged in eastern Ukraine. But this could prove to be a brief respite with gold watchers predicting a slight fall in the longer term.In the 10 years up until last December 2012, gold had surged around 400 percent, with the help of low interest rates, extra Federal Reserve liquidity and concerns over the global economy. In 2013 it lost 30 percent of its value with the Fed beginning to dial back its $85 billion-a-month stimulus program. This year, meanwhile, the precious metal has added 6 percent to its price with a range of factors influencing both speculators and physical gold buyers.

USD/JPY

The US dollar continues to gain ground against the Japanese yen, as USD/JPY flirts with the 104 range early in the North American session. On the release front, Japanese Manufacturing PMI improved to 52.4 points, beating the estimate. US Unemployment Claims beat the estimate, coming in at 298 thousand. Later in the day, we’ll get a look at the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. The markets are braced for a sharp drop in the July reading.
In a highly anticipated event, the Federal Reserve released its policy meeting minutes on Wednesday. The minutes were hawkish in tone, with the Fed saying that an interest rate hike could come sooner rather than later if employment numbers continue to improve. The Fed said that the economy continues to improve, but the QE program, which is scheduled to wind up in October, will not be accelerated. The US dollar was broadly higher after the release of the minutes and gained about 80 points on Wednesday at the yen’s expense.

Gold prices are lower on Wednesday, as the metal has slipped to two-month lows. The spot price stands at $1281.34 per ounce in the European session. On the release front, it’s a busy day in the US, led by two key events Unemployment Claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve released its minutes, and the hawkish tone gave a boost to the US dollar and pushed gold prices lower.