Friday, May 3, 2019

EUR/USD 5/3

EUR/USD is pointing lower for a third straight day. Currently the pair is trading at 1.1156, down 0.15% on the day. On the release front, eurozone CPI Flash Estimate improved to 1.7% in April, up from 1.4% a month earlier. The core release climbed to 1.2%, compared to 0.8% in March. Both indicators beat their estimates. In the U.S., the focus is on employment numbers. Nonfarm payrolls is expected to slow to 181 thousand. Will we see a repeat performance of the ADP release, which also was expected in at 181 thousand but soared to 275 thousand? Wage growth is expected to climb to 0.3% in April, after a negligible gain of 0.1% a month earlier.
Eurozone inflation is expected to climb to 1.7% in April, marking a 5-month high. The stronger reading is a reflection of higher oil prices, which has pushed prices higher. Inflation is moving closer to the ECB target of close to 2 percent, and if the upward trend continues, ECB rate-setters will have to give some thought to raising interest rate levels. The bank recently announced that no rate hikes were planned before the spring of 2020, and this dovish stance makes the euro less attractive to investors.
EUR/USD was flat in the Asian session and is slightly lower in European trade
•1.1120 is providing support
•1.1212 is the next line of resistance
•Current range: 1.1120 to 1.1212

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