Monday, August 29, 2016

Japanese yen has posted small gains on Monday

The Japanese yen has posted small gains on Monday. Currently, USD/JPY is trading slightly above the 102 line. On the release front, The US will release the Core PCE Price Index and Personal Spending. In Japan, the focus is on consumer spending indicators, with the release of Household Spending and Retail Sales. On Tuesday, the US will release CB Consumer Confidence, a key indicator.
•USD/JPY posted slight gains in the Asian session and has showed limited movement in European trade
•102.36 was tested in resistance earlier and could break in the North American session
•101.20 is providing support
•Current range:101.20 to 102.36
Further levels in both directions:
•Below: 101.20, 99.71, 98.95 and 97.78
• Above: 102.36, 103.73 and 104.99
USD/JPY ratio is showing little movement, consistent with the lack of movement from USD/JPY. Currently, long positions have a strong majority (71%), indicative of trader bias towards USD/JPY continuing to move to higher ground.

GBP/Frank

Summary :
Target Level : 1.2749
Target Period : 2 days

Analysis :
Rising Wedge identified at 29-Aug-04:00 2016 GMT. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bearish price movement towards the support 1.2749 within the next 2 days.

Supporting Indicators :
RSI above 60

Resistance Levels :
( B ) 1.2854Last resistance turning point of Rising Wedge.

Support Levels
( A ) 1.2749Last support turning point of Rising Wedge.



Chart date range :
11-Aug-16:00 GMT-> 29-Aug-08:00 GMT
Data interval : 4 hour
RSI:34 Candles
MA:34 Candles

Saturday, August 27, 2016

Diversification and the dollar overhang.

Precious metals are notoriously difficult to trade. Even traders turn out to be right, knowing when to place and press your bets won't be easy. Gold and silver are small, fairly illiquid markets relative to the kinds of positions the biggest "macro tourists"  non-professional investors  have on. If you want to know what is happening in the money supply, look to the lending portions of the economy, not base money, to get the real story.
The Fed wants to see lower prices of stocks and commodities and it seems that they will. The situation for gold is also rather bearish for the medium term as the gold-to-bonds and Dow-to-gold ratio charts suggest that another decline may be in the cards.
While the physical silver market goes far beyond APMEX, both domestically and especially internationally, the buying habits of the (large) APMEX client base could be considered a decent proxy for the overall retail market. The APMEX Top 40 Best Sellers page lists several silver coins and rounds, along with gold, palladium, and platinum products. Disregarding fractionals, the silver coins and rounds were listed in the following order, as of May 25:
1. APMEX Silver Round (Legally, issues by private minters are not considered "coins" at all and must be referred to as "rounds.")
2. Silver American Eagle
3. Silver Canadian Maple Leaf
4. Silver Mexican Libertad
5. Morgan / Peace Silver Dollar
Gold prices Silver prices

Thursday, August 25, 2016

GBP/USD showed limited movement

•GBP/USD showed limited movement in the Asian session and posted small losses on EUR/USD. The pair is unchanged early in North American trade
•1.3142 is providing support
•1.3219 remains fluid. This line has switched to a resistance role following slight losses by GBP/USD
Further levels in both directions:
•Below: 1.3142, 1.3064 and 1.2938
•Above: 1.3219, 1.3327, 1.3480 and 1.3533
•Current range: 1.3142 to 1.3219
GBP/USD ratio has shown slight movement towards short positions. Currently, long and short positions are evenly split, indicative of a lack trader bias as to what direction GBP/USD will take next.
GBP/USD is trading quietly at the 1.32 line on Thursday, continuing the lack of movement which has characterized the pair all week. On the release front, British CBI Realized Sales posted a strong gain of plus -9, well above expectations. Over in the US, durable goods reports and unemployment claims beat their estimates. On Friday, the US releases Primary GDP and we’ll also hear from Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen at the Jackson Hole conference.

USD/JPY has shown limited movement in the Asian

•USD/JPY has shown limited movement in the Asian and European sessions
•99.71 is providing support
•101.20 remains a strong resistance line
•Current range: 99.71 to 101.20
Further levels in both directions:
•Below: 99.71, 98.95 and 97.78
• Above: 101.20, 102.36, 103.73 and 104.9
USD/JPY ratio is unchanged on Thursday, consistent with the lack of movement from USD/JPY. Currently, long positions have a strong majority (72%), indicative of trader bias towards USD/JPY breaking out and moving to higher ground.
The Japanese yen is showing little movement on Thursday, continuing an uneventful week. Currently, USD/JPY is trading at 100.40. On the release front, Japanese SPPI posted a gain of 0.4%, beating the estimate of 0.1%. Japan will release more inflation during the day, highlighted by Tokyo Core CPI. Over in the US, there are two key releases – durable good reports and unemployment claims. On Friday, the US releases Primary GDP and we’ll also hear from Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen at the Jackson Hole conference.