The Bank of Russia will continue cutting the key rate this year, bringing it to
9% by the end of 2015, Danske Bank says. Monetary easing, including Thursday's
150 bps cut, will be positive for the economy and financial markets. "However,
the easing effect will not be seen in the real economy until 2016 at the
earliest even if we do not see geopolitical woes coming into the main picture,"
Danske says. The ruble is set to weaken moderately in the long run as the market
prices in further rate cuts. Danske sees the dollar rising to 61 rubles in the
short term from around 52 on Thursday.
Forex and stock traders are looking for the consistently wrong investor, trader and take the opposite position. This will obviously lead to winning trades for them. All traders have read trading books that point out that increasing volume is good for the continuation of the trend. Many new stock traders will try and fight the trend.
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