GMP Securities, despite today's rally for the loonie on the January GDP data, still thinks the currency will make a run to C$1.15 versus the greenback before finishing 2014 at C$1.09. It calls the GDP report merely a reversal of December's weather-pressured result and still thinks the metric will rise 2.4% for the year, lagging its 3% estimate for the US. A soft economy driven by "stubbornly slowly improving business investments," along with slow export growth, isn't good for the Canadian dollar, GMP notes. Combined with limited commodity-prices gains amid uneven global GDP growth, it sees the Bank of Canada staying on the sidelines for another year. The greenback is around C$1.1020.
Forex and stock traders are looking for the consistently wrong investor, trader and take the opposite position. This will obviously lead to winning trades for them. All traders have read trading books that point out that increasing volume is good for the continuation of the trend. Many new stock traders will try and fight the trend.
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